As always, I seem to learn a lesson by losing money. In this case, I was prepared for a trend to break downward. What I wasn’t looking for was a trend to break upward. My new rule, once a trend is broken, UP or DOWN, sell.
JOEZ was set nicely for a good upward trend. I was excited about the chart and the upward movement it was making. I bought it at just the right time (at the bottom of it’s trending cycle). It did everything I expected. Then one day, bang, it jumped 15%. 15%! Yes, what I should have done was sell it. The trend was broken. Unfortunately, I was only tracking a trend that broke it’s trend downward. The next day, bang, 15% loss. I went from a $200 profit to a $6 loss. Of course, my trailing stop loss kicked in and sold.
Moral of the story:
When a trend is broken (up or down), it’s time to sell.
I’m sitting at my favorite coffee cafe having a tea and using their free WiFi. I try to be as careful as I can when I use free Wifi. How do I know that one of the employees don’t have some high tech way of tracking my log ins and passwords? I know this sounds paranoid, but it is possible to do this.
This is why I list mobile broadband on my what you need list. If you are not using a connection you can trust, DO NOT enter user names and passwords to sensitive web sites. Someone could steal your information. You can imagine how scary it would be to log into your brokerage account only to find all your money gone.
I use Scottrade and thought at first how dumb it was that I could not make a withdrawal from their web site. I had to either call and have them snail mail me a check or sign up for the ATM/Checks. Still it seemed odd, until I started looking at how to be more secure. Now I’m thankful that if someone could break into my account that couldn’t steal all my money. What they could do is sell my stocks or buy bad stocks that will definitely lose my money. This option is no better than having my money stolen. Would someone do something that horrible. Yes, they would!
Tell me your thoughts in the comments section on what you think about security. Have a good tip? Share it!
I’ve been reading the “80/20 Principle” by Richard Koch and it has me thinking about my portfolio. Does it have a large distribution of winners versus losers?
After looking over my notes, I’ve decided that yes it does. There is a smaller portion of my portfolio that makes the most money versus the number of stocks I’ve bought/sold.
This makes for some interesting pondering. I invest in more stocks that lose money than make money. Yet, the ones that make money make up the difference plus add profits. So, this just proves that it’s not how many winners versus losers that you have, but how well the real winners do.
To wrap up this odd post. Cut your losses early, don’t buy into stocks that are losing money and invest more into the winners while they are winning.
Do you use the 80/20 Principle when you invest? Let me know in the comments.
The stock watch list is you’re shopping list of stocks. This is an important list. When the market has a correction or when the stocks you want move into the range you want to buy them in, this list is your short cut. Think of this as your stock cheat sheet.
In an accessible place (handy dandy paper notebook, digital file or a whiteboard*) list the name of the stock, stock symbol, buy price range and the reason why. Why list the reason why? You’ll want to recheck your reasoning in case it changed. If you are buying on a trend, list that. You’ll want to check on the trend before buying. News is another good reason, make sure the news you were looking for happened.
The best way to create a list
Buy it. Seriously, buy it. I used to waste so much of my free time combing through the news and web sites trying to find the next big stock to buy. Why waste your time? Buy a list, there are plenty of services that can offer good selections. You can even buy a list on what type of investing you want like small cap, large cap, value investing and swing trading.
Here are a few services that sell lists:
Investor Business Daily:
Top rated stocks under $10
IBD 100
IBD 20
The 100 and 20 lists are published in the ever awesome Investor Business Daily. I’ll admit I’m a fan boy for this newspaper. I subscribe to it and the “Top rated stocks under $10”. I’ve made money from both.
Fools:
Hidden Gems – Small Caps
Global Gains – International Stocks
Inside Value – Value Stocks
Rule Breakers – High Growth Stocks
Income Investor – High Yield & Growth Stocks
I have not personally used these lists, but I’m a huge fan of their books and web site.
The Street:
Cramer’s Action Alert Plus – Jim Cramer sends out his buy and sell decisions.
Breakout Stocks
Market Movers
And many more….
The Street offers a wide variety of lists including Jim Cramer’s personal portfolio. Love him or hate him, he’s entertaining. I don’t personally use The Street’s services or web site. I was a fan of Jim Cramer’s show before I decided to cancel my evil satellite service.
Good luck and happy trading!
* I remember blackboards, but my kids have informed me that they are whiteboards now. It’s unfortunate that they will miss the fun of cleaning the chalk from the erasers (yuck).
There are a few things you will need to use the Lunch Break Investing strategy. If you are reading this, chances are you have most of them.
1. Computer Access (I know, duh!)
If you do not have easy internet access then a laptop or netbook will be useful. For security reasons I would recommend mobile broad band. This is the most important item on the list.
2. Stock Watch List
This is your master cheat sheet. Put it somewhere you can easily access it. List the stock symbol and buy price. When the stock is close to your buy point, buy!
3. Written Strategy
It must be written and accessible. Following your written rules will eliminate some emotion and will protect your capital. Never guess on your rules. Write them down and follow them!
4. Cell Phone
Not really a must, but can be very useful. A smartphone, like an iPhone, is not a replacement for a good laptop/netbook, but it can give you quick easy access. I have bought stocks sitting in my car waiting on my kids to leave school. Getting text message alerts on stocks is also useful.
Post your list of necessities in the comments. I would love to see how everyone is using technology and gadgets to do better investing.
A trailing stop loss allows an investor to set a loss limit (dollar or percent) on their stock. As the stock trends upwards the limit follows. Example: If you set a $1 trailing stop loss on a $5 stock and the stock drops to $4, it auto sells. If the stock moves to $6, the limit is $5. This a nifty option that protects your capital without constant monitoring.
This is handy for you lunch break investors. Say you go to lunch and have a nice burrito. You find the dream stock that is going to make you millions. You buy! Just in case, you set a stop loss at 8%. Now this awesome stock grows and grows. Then one day, bang! It’s not a hot stock any more. Your trailing stop loss kicks in and sells at 8% under the last “up” closing price. Now you made millions without trying. Or in some cases stopped your loses before you lost a bug chunk of change.
Use trailing stop loss to protect your capital and profits.
After careful consideration, I have decided to try a new investing strategy. I’ve found that I do not have time to use the traditional rules. My rules will have to fit my time constraints. In other words, it has be easy and simple enough to do during my lunch hour.
Here are my Lunch Break Investing Rules:
1. Only buys stocks on the watch list.
2. Must be trending upward.
3. Must have a trending sweep of at least 10%.
4. Buy only at the bottom trend line.
5. Set a loss limit (2-3%).
5. Set a trailing stop loss to 8% below the bought price (dollar amount on the stop loss, not percent)
6. Set a profit limit (5-10%).
6. Allow the stock to trend upward until trailing stop loss is activated.
7. Never break any of these rules.
8. Adapt my strategy as needed.
Over the next several weeks I will be expanding on each of these items. I will also concentrate on the automation and mobile techniques.
The first time I bought any shares of a company I was terrified. I had no idea what I was doing and if I was doing it right. Believe it or not, it’s not painful and it’s very easy to do.
I use Scottrade, so my steps are more geared toward their service, but its similar for most places.
Step 1:
Log into your brokerage’s web site and click buy. Scottrade’s option is on the left side. Be sure you have enough money deposited into your account. If you do not, deposit the money and proceed to step 2.
Step 2:
Enter the stock ticker symbol. (Example: GE is General Electric and PG is Proctor and Gamble)
Step 3:
Enter the number of shares you are buying. To find this number you take the amount you are investing divided by the current share amount.
$1,000 (amount invested) / $10.00 (the current share price) = 100 shares.
Be sure to leave a little extra available for the commission and price changes.
Step 4:
Market vs. Limit
The “Market” options buys the stock at the current price or close to it when you click buy.
The “Limit” option allows you to enter how much you are willing to pay for the stock.
I used to use a limit on all my buys until I figured out that I was wasting more time chasing a stock within pennies of where I wanted to buy. I now only use the “market” option. Those few penny changes doesn’t worry me as much. If I was trading millions (I wish), it would be different.
Step 5:
Click Review/Buy (wording may vary by service).
Step 6:
Celebrate! You bought stocks and are on your way to accomplishing your financial goals!
In my post, How To Find Companies Worth Investing – Part I, I talked about investing in companies that make the products that you use and love. Now let’s look at companies that help make those products happen.
Let’s say you don’t want to invest in HP or Apple. What about the companies that make the components of their products?
Typical Components Inside a Computer:
CPU – Intel (INTC) or AMD (AMD)
Video card – Nvidia (NVDA), ATI (part of AMD)
Monitor – HP (HPQ), LG (KRX)
There are plenty of excellent companies that you can find that make the bits and pieces of your favorite products. Do a search on google or wikipedia to find who makes what.
Peter Lynch is well known for saying, “Invest in what you know”. With that in mind, one good place to find companies to invest is the grocery store or mega super store that is the size of a small country. The products that you buy, use, consume and generally can’t live without are made by some of the best companies to invest. List your 5 favorite products and do some homework.
Here are my 5:
1. Tide
2. Starbucks coffee (it helps me write)
3. Coke Zero
4. Doritos
5. Cheez-its
What companies make these products?* A quick search on Wikipedia shows:
1. Tide – Proctor & Gamble Co. (PG)
2. Starbucks – Starbucks Corp. (SBUX)
3. Coke Zero – Coca-Cola Company (KO)
4. Doritos – PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP)
5. Cheez-its – Kellogg Company (K)
That was easy! I now have 5 companies to do my investing homework. On your next visit to the grocery store, check out a few of your favorite products. Who makes them? Leave a comment below and have fun trading!
* These stocks are listed for example purposes only and I do not endorse these companies. Remember to always investigate and consider the risk before investing.
